Monthly Archives: April 2011

Two more polls NDP at 33 % Conservatives 37-38% Liberals 18-19%

Two more polls have appeared on the weekend before the historic May 2nd election which show that the NDP is closing in on the Conservatives with the gap narrowing outside of Alberta. One of them by Angus Reid is featured … Continue reading

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Two more polls place NDP second and Liberals third

Another two polls have been released a new Ekos poll and a new Nanos poll. Both polls guage political preference over the period which ended on April 27. They both show the NDP firmly in second place with 28 % … Continue reading

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Two new polls place NDP above 30 % and Conservatives 34 to 35 %: gap may be closing in final days.

Two new polls have been released  one by Forum and the other by Angus Reid which appear to confirm the startling result first revealed by an earlier Ekos poll which placed the NDP in the lead in Québec and second … Continue reading

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Winds of change blowing in Canadian election NDP vaults into 2nd place first place in Québec

The latest Ekos poll still to be confirmed by other polls shows the NDP has vaulted into first place in Québec with 39 % of the likely vote and 2nd place throughout the country with 28 % of the likely … Continue reading

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Swingable seats in British Columbia

British columbia has traditionally been a ferocious battleground between the Conservatives  and former Social Creditors and reformers on the one hand and the New democrats on the other. The Liberal party is often squeezed between these two forces although it … Continue reading

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Swingable seats in Manitoba and Saskatchewan.

With the polls showing a surge for the NDP in Québec and B.C. what impact might a rise in the NDP vote have in Manitoba and Saskatchewan ? There are two seats won by a margin of less than 10 … Continue reading

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Two polls show NDP surge in Québec will it hold on election day?

An Ipsos poll and and Ekos Poll taken April 18-20 appear to show the NDP slightly ahead of the Liberals nationally but within the margin of error or tied with them and definitely ahead in the Québec race. The results … Continue reading

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Moving to Ontario with the swingometer

In a previous post I analysed the likely consequences of a swing in the votes from the Bloc to the other parties in Québec and suggested that only a small number of seats were likely candidates for a shift from … Continue reading

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Swingometer election analysis:Quebec’s swingable seats likely to be limited to small number

When I was a student in Britain and during subsequent visits there I was always fascinated at election time when the BBC’s great journalist Peter  Snow during the election broadcasts would use the Canadian expatriate, the late  Robert Mackenzie who … Continue reading

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French language Canadian federal election debate a close contest(2)

The French language debate was a very interesting debate in some ways superior to the English language debate because the issue of national unity was debated in very revealing ways, and the issues of unemployment,poverty and social policy received a … Continue reading

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