Monthly Archives: April 2014

Swingometer proves accurate in all but three ridings in Québec election:The swing to the Liberals was 11 percentage points in total.

In the weeks leading up to the election I posted a piece on the swingometer and its predictive powers in calling seats that could be won from either the PQ or the CAQ in the April 7th election. If the … Continue reading

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Quebec election Couillard and Liberals win a majority government in Québec election.: 70 seats; PQ 30; CAQ 22; QS 3.

The polls in the final days were more or less correct. The Liberals won 41% of the vote and captured 70 seats. The PQ captured  25 %of the vote and 30 seats. The CAQ 23 % of the vote and … Continue reading

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Another poll by Angus Reid with a sample of 1410 shows PLQ at 39%;PQ 27 %; CAQ 25 % QS 7 %; among Francophones PQ 31 %, PLQ 30 % CAQ 28 %.

Angus Reid has released what is now the most recent poll in Québec’s election on the eve of this critical election with numbers that suggest the Liberals are likely to win overall in a close race with the CAQ and … Continue reading

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Two new Québec polls :Léger PLQ 38.1%, PQ 29.0%, CAQ23.4 % , QS 8%;Ekos PLQ 40 %, PQ 26.3%;CAQ 21% and QS 9.6 %

Another 2 polls have  come out  .One is by Ekos done for La Presse showing the PLQ at 40 %, the PQ at 26.3 %, the CAQ at 21 % and QS at 9.6 %. The Léger was done for … Continue reading

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Liberals ahead in latest polls in Quebec election

There have been three new polls in the Quebec election which suggest that Liberals are definitely ahead in voter intentions. The first of these polls was conducted among Francophone voters only. It shows the PQ with 36 % of the … Continue reading

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