Category Archives: Uncategorized

Swingable seats in British Columbia

British columbia has traditionally been a ferocious battleground between the Conservatives  and former Social Creditors and reformers on the one hand and the New democrats on the other. The Liberal party is often squeezed between these two forces although it … Continue reading

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Swingable seats in Manitoba and Saskatchewan.

With the polls showing a surge for the NDP in Québec and B.C. what impact might a rise in the NDP vote have in Manitoba and Saskatchewan ? There are two seats won by a margin of less than 10 … Continue reading

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Two polls show NDP surge in Québec will it hold on election day?

An Ipsos poll and and Ekos Poll taken April 18-20 appear to show the NDP slightly ahead of the Liberals nationally but within the margin of error or tied with them and definitely ahead in the Québec race. The results … Continue reading

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Moving to Ontario with the swingometer

In a previous post I analysed the likely consequences of a swing in the votes from the Bloc to the other parties in Québec and suggested that only a small number of seats were likely candidates for a shift from … Continue reading

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Swingometer election analysis:Quebec’s swingable seats likely to be limited to small number

When I was a student in Britain and during subsequent visits there I was always fascinated at election time when the BBC’s great journalist Peter  Snow during the election broadcasts would use the Canadian expatriate, the late  Robert Mackenzie who … Continue reading

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French language Canadian federal election debate a close contest(2)

The French language debate was a very interesting debate in some ways superior to the English language debate because the issue of national unity was debated in very revealing ways, and the issues of unemployment,poverty and social policy received a … Continue reading

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French language Canadian federal election debate a close contest(first draft see the next post)

The French language debate was a very interesting debate in some ways superior to the English language debate because the issue of national unity was discussed in very revealing ways and the issues of unemployment, poverty and social policy got … Continue reading

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New Ekos Ipolitics poll suggests Canadian electoral race may be narrowing

A much closer horse race appears to be developing if the results of a new Ekos Ipolitics poll are accurate. The poll completed just prior to the English language debate shows that the Conservatives have dropped down to 33.8 %, … Continue reading

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Canadian election television debate Harper under attack stonewalls

Stephen Harper faced a barrage of accusations and criticism about his performance as Prime Minister last night but he stayed largely unflappable in the face of the severe criticism sent his way by Michael Ignatieff, Jack Layton and Gilles Duceppe. … Continue reading

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Auditor General’s report becomes hot potato in Canadian election.

The long awaited report of the Auditor General on the Canadian government’s spending on the G8 summit has become a potential very damaging problem for the Harper government. A leaked copy of an early draft of the final report yet … Continue reading

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