Two new Québec polls :Léger PLQ 38.1%, PQ 29.0%, CAQ23.4 % , QS 8%;Ekos PLQ 40 %, PQ 26.3%;CAQ 21% and QS 9.6 %

Another 2 polls have  come out  .One is by Ekos done for La Presse showing the PLQ at 40 %, the PQ at 26.3 %, the CAQ at 21 % and QS at 9.6 %. The Léger was done for Le journal de Montréal which is owned and published by Pierre Karl Peladeau. Its results will not likely please him. The poll,  another internet  internet poll of over 1000 participants has the Liberals or PLQ at 38.1 % , the PQ at 29.0 %, the CAQ at 23.4 % and QS at 8 %.Option national and the Parti vert show up at 0.5 % each.Translating this into seats, no easy task in a 4 party race,  it most likely would result in a narrow Liberal victory of 65 Liberals, 47 PQ, 3 for QS and 10 for the CAQ.

 

The EKOS poll done for La Presse shows even further potential erosion in the PQ vote benefitting the Liberals. The PLQ is at 40 %, the PQ at 26.3, the CAQ at 21 % and Québec solidaire 8 %. The EKOS poll if accurate would result in a bigger Liberal victory, possibly more than 70 seats for them with the PQ dropping to 40 or fewer seats, losing seats both to the Liberals and the CAQ.

 

There is a still fairly large undecided vote so if the turnout is close to 80 % some of the undecided vote will vote and possibly shift the election in one direction or the other that differs somewhat from the average of the latest polls. Normally the electorate has decided on the weekend before an election. But recent elections elsewhere show that the unpredictable is always a factor We shall see on Monday night.

 

 

 

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About haroldchorneyeconomist

I am Professor of political economy at Concordia university in Montréal, Québec, Canada. I received my B.A.Hons (econ.&poli sci) from the University of Manitoba. I also completed my M.A. degree in economics there. Went on to spend two years at the London School of Economics as a Ph.D. student in economics and then completed my Ph.D. in political economy at the University of Toronto. Was named a John W.Dafoe fellow, a CMHC fellow and a Canada Council fellow. I also was named a Woodrow Wilson fellow in 1968 after completing my first class honours undergraduate degree. Worked as an economist in the area of education, labour economics and as the senior economist with the Manitoba Housing and Renewal Corporation for the Government of Manitoba from 1972 to 1978. I also have worked as an economic consultant for MDT socio-economic consultants and have been consulted on urban planning, health policy, linguistic duality and public sector finance questions by the governments of Manitoba, Saskatchewan,the cities of Regina and Saskatoon, Ontario and the Federal government of Canada. I have also been consulted by senior leaders of the British Labour party, MPs from the Progressive Conservative party, the Liberal party and the New Democrats on economic policy questions. Members of the Government of France under the Presidency of Francois Mitterand discussed my work on public sector deficits. I have also run for elected office at the municipal level. I first began to write about quantitative easing as a useful policy option during the early 1980s.
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