The latest poll in the Québec election conducted by CROP using a weighted sample survey  of 1002 telephone interviews with a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points 19 times out of 20 appears to confirm the PQ vote at 33 %, the CAQ ascending to second position at 28 % and the slipping of the Liberals into third position at 26 %. However there is a high level of undecided voters at 18 % who appear to lean against the PQ so the election is still not decided. For example among these undecided voters Madame Marois is preferred by only 2 %. Also only 11 % of the undecided prefer sovereignty as compared to 29 % of the overall sample. Also 68 % of the undecided are francophone as opposed to 74 % of the overall sample. Still the poll does appear if borne out on election day to point to a minority PQ government with a strong showing from the CAQ . Because the Liberals appear to be running so far behind among francophones only 19 % versus 30 % for the CAQ and 36 % for the PQ the Liberals are in danger of being reduced to their core base heavily concentrated on Montreal island and the south and to a lesser extent the north shore of the metropolis. If we compare this poll to the opening polls of the campaign we see that the PQ vote has not moved at all stuck at around 33%, which is one of the lowest scores for PQ support in its history as a party. The big change appears to be the erosion of the Liberal vote by the conditional federalist/nationalist CAQ whose leader François Legault has conducted a popular but right wing budget slashing campaign. The PQ has also lost support  to the left wing separatist party Québec Solidaire who are at 7 % in the poll and to the breakaway fraction of  the PQ Option Nationale led by Jean-Martin Aussant. The Greens are also showing at 3 %. Voting in the two days of advance polls was heavy probably because many people will seek to enjoy their last summer holiday and escape the election by relaxing before the hectic days of September begin.