New Cabinet a Good mixture of Talent, Regional Roots and Values and Beliefs:Keystone XL rejection,TPP details obliges government to come up with a policy rethink particularly if economy should slow down in coming months

The gradually emerging details of the T.P.P. trade deal and the decision of President Obama to reject the proposed Keystone XL pipeline presents the new Liberal government with both a challenge and an opportunity to rethink its policy agenda. This will become more urgent if oil prices continue to slump and if Canada’s manufacturing base particularly in heartland Ontario is damaged by low wage auto parts competition from Asia and Latin America.The new Government is interested in creating a more sustainable energy strategy. But to successfully do so the country from an employment point of view requires a more robust and competitive manufacturing centre which may well need greater short term protection from low wage competition from Asia than is on offer in the TPP.Apparently the Americans negotiated thirty years protection whereas our Harper government settled for only five years. There are a number of questions to be answered with respect to ensuring sustainable energy supply and management of our natural resources.Simply refining more of the oil in Canada is an intriguing possibility but this still would mean drawing on carbon heavy oil as the NYT diplomatically puts it. What about China and the proposed pipeline to the west coast? If no pipeline is built what about rail transportation? Already the Lac Megantic tragedy shows us the kind of problems that can arise.

The new Trudeau Liberal Government has got off to a good start with a very interesting mixture of old and new cabinet talent united behind a firm Prime Ministerial commitment to restore respectful debate and service to the Government of Canada and to be a progressive centrist government. All of the choices made by the new prime minister are good ones and introduce a very fresh face to the government . The choice of Bill Morneau as the new Finance minister is a very intriguing one since Mr.Morneau is a very successful Bay street executive with a substantial amount of family wealth and an annual income that makes him one of the richest politicians in the cabinet since Paul Martin. But this business success does not disqualify him from acting as an enlightened  reformer of the taxation system should he want to be and an excellent pragmatic  Keynesian leaning finance minister committed to investing in the infrastructure of the economy while being at the same time a prudent manager of operating expenditures seeking to balance the infrastructure budget over the medium to long term but the operating budget in the short term. This approach will work well so long as the economic slowdown currently underway does not worsen too much.

His tenure as finance minister and the pressure he will come under to be more fiscally conservative(which he should resist) will bear watching in the months to come. The appointment of Stephane Dion as Canada’s foreign minister should work well and offer important challenges to Dion who is a solid Québec intellectual. Dominic LeBlanc as house leader and chair of six cabinet sub committees is also an important choice. LeBlanc is close to Trudeau and will provide excellent backing to the Prime Minister. John McCallum is a very interesting choice as the new Minister of Immigration tasked with the top priority of admitting 25,000 refugees in the next short period of time. This will be a major challenge which will tax McCallums administrative and political abilities. But given his personal history and long experience in Ottawa I expect he will succeed. Ralph Goodale another veteran of previous Liberal cabinets is Minister of public safety tasked with among other things revising Bill C51 so that there is a better balance in the law between legitimate security concerns and protection of Canadian values and civil liberties. All of the new faces in the cabinet and the veterans are people of substance who begin their jobs with a large amount of goodwill from much of the Canadian electorate. But as the excitement of a new government wanes and the pressure of tough decisions in tough times grows Canadians will be watching to see if promises are kept and the government’s welcome idealism is maintained. The appointment of 15 women alongside 15 men is a progressive step forward. Many of these women face important challenges in their portfolios right from the get go. This is very true of Chrystia Freeland who has to grapple with the T.P.P. and its potential negative consequence for employment and Canadian control of our economy, Jody Wilson Raybould with the key justice dossier and restoring a more balanced policy to criminal justice, and Maryam Monsef the reform of the electoral system, and Carolyn Bennett Indigenous and Northern affairs

The Conservatives have made a very intriguing choice for their interim leader Ms Rona Ambrose is an articulate multilingual right wing experienced former cabinet minister who I think will make a very effective leader. It also positions the party progressively on the issue of women in politics. Only the Liberals at the Federal level have yet to have had a women leading the party something the Conservatives like the New Democrats can now boast about, each having had two.

The NDP for its part still needs to conduct its inquest into what went wrong and think again about its leadership.

Advertisements

About haroldchorneyeconomist

I am Professor of political economy at Concordia university in Montréal, Québec, Canada. I received my B.A.Hons (econ.&poli sci) from the University of Manitoba. I also completed my M.A. degree in economics there. Went on to spend two years at the London School of Economics as a Ph.D. student in economics and then completed my Ph.D. in political economy at the University of Toronto. Was named a John W.Dafoe fellow, a CMHC fellow and a Canada Council fellow. I also was named a Woodrow Wilson fellow in 1968 after completing my first class honours undergraduate degree. Worked as an economist in the area of education, labour economics and as the senior economist with the Manitoba Housing and Renewal Corporation for the Government of Manitoba from 1972 to 1978. I also have worked as an economic consultant for MDT socio-economic consultants and have been consulted on urban planning, health policy, linguistic duality and public sector finance questions by the governments of Manitoba, Saskatchewan,the cities of Regina and Saskatoon, Ontario and the Federal government of Canada. I have also been consulted by senior leaders of the British Labour party, MPs from the Progressive Conservative party, the Liberal party and the New Democrats on economic policy questions. Members of the Government of France under the Presidency of Francois Mitterand discussed my work on public sector deficits. I have also run for elected office at the municipal level. I first began to write about quantitative easing as a useful policy option during the early 1980s.
This entry was posted in Uncategorized and tagged . Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s