Labour and UK conservatives tied at 33 % each. Alberta NDP poised to win election according to polls

The latest polls in Alberta show the NDP on the road to electoral victory. According to T.C.Norris the party should win between the low 40s to mid 50s in seats in the Alberta legislature giving them at the very least a minority government. In Britain the latest poll of polls shows Labour and the Conservatives tied at 33 % each. If this result occurs on election day the difference in seats between the two major parties will be minimal, probably fewer than ten.

Just as occurred in Canada when the Conservatives came to power the British Conservatives are claiming falsely that it would be illegitimate for which ever party came second to seek to form a government with the support of smaller parties even if  it were second by only a few seats in the case where the leading party had a plurality of the seats but not the majority. There should be no misunderstanding. Constitutionally a government can be formed by which ever party commands the support of a majority of  voting members of the parliament. It might be an emerging convention although I ‘m not sure it is, that the party with the largest bloc of seats but still not a majority, particularly if they are the incumbent government, should be given the first opportunity to negotiate an alliance or coalition that can meet the test of a vote in Parliament. But if it fails it is absolutely in order for the Queen to ask the second largest party to seek to form a government. The delay in doing so should be minimal and in no circumstances does the previous government have the right to call for another election without the alternative government in waiting testing the will of Parliament.


About haroldchorneyeconomist

I am Professor of political economy at Concordia university in Montréal, Québec, Canada. I received my B.A.Hons (econ.&poli sci) from the University of Manitoba. I also completed my M.A. degree in economics there. Went on to spend two years at the London School of Economics as a Ph.D. student in economics and then completed my Ph.D. in political economy at the University of Toronto. Was named a John W.Dafoe fellow, a CMHC fellow and a Canada Council fellow. I also was named a Woodrow Wilson fellow in 1968 after completing my first class honours undergraduate degree. Worked as an economist in the area of education, labour economics and as the senior economist with the Manitoba Housing and Renewal Corporation for the Government of Manitoba from 1972 to 1978. I also have worked as an economic consultant for MDT socio-economic consultants and have been consulted on urban planning, health policy, linguistic duality and public sector finance questions by the governments of Manitoba, Saskatchewan,the cities of Regina and Saskatoon, Ontario and the Federal government of Canada. I have also been consulted by senior leaders of the British Labour party, MPs from the Progressive Conservative party, the Liberal party and the New Democrats on economic policy questions. Members of the Government of France under the Presidency of Francois Mitterand discussed my work on public sector deficits. I have also run for elected office at the municipal level. I first began to write about quantitative easing as a useful policy option during the early 1980s.
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