Québec Liberals lose ground to CAQ; PQ up slightly in latest polls

The Québec electoral horse race just grew more complex with the latest polls showing a narrowing of the gap between the Liberals and the CAQ with the PQ pulling slightly further ahead. The poll done by well established  Québec pollsters shows the PQ at 35 % with the Liberals at 29.9 % and the CAQ at 24.5 % At these levels of support depending on how the vote would be allocated among constituencies the PQ would be likely to win a small majority or a very strong minority. The poll was conducted by Léger with the sample drawn  from an on line population fitting the population characteristics of the Québec electorate. Although pollsters insist these sorts of polls are reliable there are problems with the self selected population from which the samples are drawn. So they may be somewhat unreliable. Nevertheless the results are close to the most recent other poll that shows the PQ at 33 %, the Liberals at 28 % and the CAQ at 27 %.

Sunday evening the first of several leader debates takes place. Obvious themes to be debated include the issue of corruption, the state of the health care system, the goal of fuller employment announced by Jean Charest’s Liberal party, the question of extending Bill 101 and the controversy over reasonable accommodation as opposed to unreasonable prejudice, fiscal balance,the environment, public transportation and the metropolis, the goal of sovereignty and its impact upon economic stability, education and tuition fees to name a number of leading issues. given the polls expect the debates to sharp and pointed.


About haroldchorneyeconomist

I am Professor of political economy at Concordia university in Montréal, Québec, Canada. I received my B.A.Hons (econ.&poli sci) from the University of Manitoba. I also completed my M.A. degree in economics there. Went on to spend two years at the London School of Economics as a Ph.D. student in economics and then completed my Ph.D. in political economy at the University of Toronto. Was named a John W.Dafoe fellow, a CMHC fellow and a Canada Council fellow. I also was named a Woodrow Wilson fellow in 1968 after completing my first class honours undergraduate degree. Worked as an economist in the area of education, labour economics and as the senior economist with the Manitoba Housing and Renewal Corporation for the Government of Manitoba from 1972 to 1978. I also have worked as an economic consultant for MDT socio-economic consultants and have been consulted on urban planning, health policy, linguistic duality and public sector finance questions by the governments of Manitoba, Saskatchewan,the cities of Regina and Saskatoon, Ontario and the Federal government of Canada. I have also been consulted by senior leaders of the British Labour party, MPs from the Progressive Conservative party, the Liberal party and the New Democrats on economic policy questions. Members of the Government of France under the Presidency of Francois Mitterand discussed my work on public sector deficits. I have also run for elected office at the municipal level. I first began to write about quantitative easing as a useful policy option during the early 1980s.
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