NDP Third Ballot Results:Mulcair 43.8 % Topp 31.6 % Cullen 24.6 %

Nathan Cullen has run an excellent campaign but fallen just short on the third ballot and so now drops off the ballot with the Convention having a clear choice between two somewhat different visions of the role of the NDP in national politics. Mulcair to win has to obtain as few as one quarter of the Cullen vote to win. But Topp can win if he captures about 11,544 of Cullen’s vote.  Probably a very difficult feat but not impossible. Knowing New Democrats as I do but also given the nature of the voting system with the bulk of the votes already cast in the advance vote it will be a difficult moment for the social democratic core of the party to easily accept at least initially the prospect of a Mulcair victory.

Cullen’s vote was 15, 426 votes  out of a total of 62,728 votes cast. Mulcair thus needs 31,365 votes to win. since he achieved 27,480 votes on the third ballot to win he only needs an additional 3885 votes on the final ballot assuming the total vote number stays the same and Mulcair loses no votes from his vote total in the third round. Topp on the other hand needs 11544 votes from the Cullen total to win making the same assumptions about the vote total and his own vote. As I say a very unlikely but not impossible task.


About haroldchorneyeconomist

I am Professor of political economy at Concordia university in Montréal, Québec, Canada. I received my B.A.Hons (econ.&poli sci) from the University of Manitoba. I also completed my M.A. degree in economics there. Went on to spend two years at the London School of Economics as a Ph.D. student in economics and then completed my Ph.D. in political economy at the University of Toronto. Was named a John W.Dafoe fellow, a CMHC fellow and a Canada Council fellow. I also was named a Woodrow Wilson fellow in 1968 after completing my first class honours undergraduate degree. Worked as an economist in the area of education, labour economics and as the senior economist with the Manitoba Housing and Renewal Corporation for the Government of Manitoba from 1972 to 1978. I also have worked as an economic consultant for MDT socio-economic consultants and have been consulted on urban planning, health policy, linguistic duality and public sector finance questions by the governments of Manitoba, Saskatchewan,the cities of Regina and Saskatoon, Ontario and the Federal government of Canada. I have also been consulted by senior leaders of the British Labour party, MPs from the Progressive Conservative party, the Liberal party and the New Democrats on economic policy questions. Members of the Government of France under the Presidency of Francois Mitterand discussed my work on public sector deficits. I have also run for elected office at the municipal level. I first began to write about quantitative easing as a useful policy option during the early 1980s.
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