While the financial markets wait with keen anticipation it does seem from studying the entrails of reports emanating from Brussels that the long awaited made in Europe solution to the sovereign debt crisis triggered by the spectre of the failure of Greece unleashing a chain reaction in Europe and abroad of falling financial dominoes is about to be announced.
The solution is composed of various strategies and initiatives. These include: the European central Bank buying up a portion of the sovereign debt in play; the more than doubling of the size of the European financial stability fund to over 1 trillion € ; the shoring up private bank capital by raising the target ceiling of tier one capital to 9 %; the possible involvement of offshore countries like China in contributing to the purchase of sovereign debt; the arranging of a substantial haircut on existing bondholders’ returns; the long run target for the Greek debt to GDP ratio of 120 % by 2020 down from 186 % in 2013. These are all good measures(although the target may be too severe a reduction in such a short time) which should help calm the nervous markets but they must also be accompanied by some easing of the austerity program in Greece to provide both a measure of relief to Greece’s people and permit Greece to recover the path to economic growth.
For ultimately it is economic growth that will spur the solution to the debt burden by shrinking the weight of sovereign debt in the GDP. We shall see what tomorrow brings but these are hopeful signs that Europe has risen to the occasion and thereby strengthened its unity and economic coherence.