Polit 204 E, Concordia University Introduction to Canadian Politics course outline

Poli 204/E 2017
Introduction to Canadian Politics
Professor Harold Chorney
Course outline

H553 Tuesday 2:45 to 5:30 pm

Office hours Thursday 3:30 to 4:30 others tba.

The study of Canadian politics is a complex field which draws upon a number of traditions in Canadian political science including institutionalism, political behaviour, political theory, international politics, political economy, history, judicial and constitutional history and economic history. In a broad survey course lasting a single term we can only touch upon a number of key aspects of the field. In my view some knowledge of the key economic and political history of Canada and its initial colonial relationship to Great Britain and France and its relationship to the great republic to the south , the United States is essential in making sense of Canadian politics and its political history. The ongoing debate about the place of Québec in Canada can only be properly understood in the light of Canadian history and the history of the French fact in the founding of the country. Much has changed in Canada over its history. New France in the 18th century had a European origin  population of about 70,000. In 1867 the population of Canada was 3.46 million people excluding the first nations’ population of about 120,000 people.In 1913 the population was 7.63 million. In 1941 Canada had a population of about 11.5 million people. Its population today according to Statistics Canada is over 36 million. Whereas in the 1940s and fifties the major groups were those of British or French background and people from other ethnicities constituted less than twenty percent of the population this third group has grown substantially in importance.The first nations’ and aboriginal population is now estimated to be over 1.4 million.

Canada can no longer be understood as a British country or a former French colony. This in strong contrast to the Canada of the early 1950s when both the Union Jack and the Red Ensign flew on the flagpole of my elementary school in Winnipeg and we were considered British subjects. Rather Canadian nationality has come into its own based as it is on a wide range of ethnicities , founding peoples and nations and immigrants from all over the world. We will likely be a nation of more than 40 million in the not too distant future and have in much of the country a strong pan Canadian national sensibility. Yet at the same time Québec maintains its identity as the very successful product of more than 4 centuries of French dominant presence in North America. This French presence and identity is also strong in several other regions of the country notably New Brunswick, Ontario and Manitoba. The partly bilingual character of Canada and the tension over Québec’s place in Canada are creative if difficult elements of the Canadian nation making process.
On October 19th, 2015 Canadians went to the polls to elect a new Parliament. This election was a very closely hard fought election with three major parties each according to the poll of polls having had a good chance initially to elect the largest number of members and form a minority government. We will discuss the election in detail, including the leading policy issues, the nature of the voting system, the differences between the parties, Canadian electoral history and the issue of getting younger Canadians to vote in much larger numbers. The election of a majority government under the leadership of Justin Trudeau a son of a former Prime Minister, Pierre Elliot Trudeau and a coalition of liberals, liberal progressives,environmentalists and liberal social democrats stands in sharp contrast to the recent electoral experience in the USA. Our complex but close trade relationship with the USA under the about to be inaugurated Trump Republican administration is bound to strongly affect Canada and its democracy in the years to come as anti free trade sentiments work their way through Congress and the halls of public opinion.We will face serious economic challenges if the protectionist anti NAFTA nationalist sentiments being projected by President elect Trump are not moderated once he is in office.

Text :Eric Mintz, Livianna Tossutti and Christopher Dunn, Canada’s Politics:Democracy, Diversity and Good Government. Pearson , 2017. Available at text bookstore.

Evaluation: An essay due in the first week of November on a topic chosen from a list of possible topics made available in the next two weeks. 50 %. A final exam 50 %.

Additional reading: I draw upon several other works in Canadian history and Canadian politics . These include Alvin Finkel and Margaret Conrad’s two volume History of the Canadian Peoples vol.1 Beginning to 1867 (1993) vol.2 3rd ed. 1867 to the present; C.B.Macpherson, The Political Theory of Possessive Individualism:Hobbes to Locke;Stanley Ryerson, French Canada; Unequal Union; Craig Brown, the illustrated history of Canada, 2002; Donald Creighton, The Road to Confederation:The Emergence of Canada; Rand Dyck& Christopher Cochrane, Canadian Politics Critical Approaches; Stephen Brooks, Canadian Democracy, Oxford U Press, 2012. Michael Hart, A Trading Nation:Canadian Trade Policy from Confederation to Globalization, 2002. Mel Watkins and W. Easterbrook, Approaches to Canadian Economic History, 1969.Bob Rae,Whats’s Happened to Politics. Simon&Schuster, 2015; Richard Pound, Canadian Facts and Dates,Fitzhenry and Whiteside, 2005.

Topics:

1. Introduction and overview. The recent Canadian election, issues , polls and media spin.The electoral system and the need for reform.The recent American election and its likely impact upon Canada.

2. Geography and Economic history: the role of the staple in French Canada and British North America.Readings and sources: Mintz et al, Canada’s Politics, pp.1-51, pp.91-120; Finkel & Conrad, History of the Canadian Peoples vol.1 & 2; pp.1-208 in vol.2, pp. tba; Michael Hart, A Trading Nation:Canadian Trade Policy from Colonization to Globalization ch.1,2&3. Stanley Ryerson, Unequal Union:Confederation and the Roots of the Conflict in the Canadas 1815-1873; Stephen Clarkson, Does North America exist? Governing the continent after NAFTA and 9/11.Mel Watkins, A Staple Theory of Economic Growth, D.Drache, Harold Innis and Canadian Capitalist Development, and Claire Pentland, The Development of a Capitalistic Labour Market in Canada all in G.Laxer ed, Perspectives on Canadian Economic Development,Oxford U. Press, 1991. J.Bhagwati ,Protectionism; Arghi Emmanuel, Unequal Exchange:A study of the Imperialism of Trade.

3. Aboriginal peoples in pre European Canada. Aboriginal Rights and Governance. The Riel rebellions Manitoba and Québec.

4. The conquest and its legacy.Québec nationalism in twentieth and twenty-first century Canada.

5. Democracy and the Liberal democratic state.The 1837 rebellions and the chartists. The roots of confederation and the Canadian constitution.

6. The clash between labour and capital in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries and its impact upon Canadian politics and the political party system.

7. The Canadian economy, the business cycle, free trade , globalization and regional disparities.

8. Canada as an urban nation. The growth of diversity. Canada’s treatment of its minorities. Québec nationalism and Canadian federalism.

9. Canadian political culture and our place in global politics. The other North America.

10. Political parties, interest groups and social movements. Democratic reform.

11. The constitution and the Charter of Rights. The Federal system and the economics of federalism.

12. The institutions of government: Parliament and the power of the Prime Minister.

13. The judiciary and the courts.

14. Summary and Review.

Essay Assignment: Due the first Tuesday in March.i.e. March 7, Write an essay of between 9-10 pages on one of the following topics. The essay must include a bibliography of sources consulted. Sources should include scholarly books, articles from academic journals and where appropriate the quality press, for example The Globe and Mail, The New York Times, Le Devoir. Use a manual of style and proper citation.

Topics:(under construction)
1. “The Quebec Charter of Values was rooted in the Quebec nationalist opposition to Canadian federalism and the nationalists’ rejection of multi-culturalism.” Discuss critically explaining the roots of the debate over values in Quebec, the goal of a secular society in the light of Quebec history and your assessment of the claim that this Charter was simply a legitimate expression of the need to protect Quebec’s culture.

2. How can C.B. Macpherson’s notion of possessive individualism be used to construct a theory of Canadian politics? Explain his theory and explore Canada’s class cleavages and political economy in your essay.

3. Foreign ownership and control of the Canadian economy is still an issue of considerable importance in Canada’s political economy. Explain why and discuss how it has been integrated into our politics in the past and its current status.

4. Does Canada’s voting system of first past the post need to be reformed? What alternative systems are there, how would they work, why would they be better and how could they be implemented.

5.Discuss the power of the Prime Minister and his/her office. What checks if any need to be placed on it?

6. What ought to be Canada’s role in global affairs? Are we a peacemaker or a powder monkey ?

7. Discuss the relationship of Canada to the U.S. Given the close economic integration that the free trade pact has promoted explore what challenges this poses to our sovereignty and independence.

8. Analyze the problem of unemployment. What role has government economic policy played in this problem? What is the role of the Bank of Canada and the Department of Finance in managing this problem? Explain the competing approaches of Keynesianism versus monetarism with respect to this problem.

9. Discuss Canadian economic history from the point of view of staple development. Does staple theory still have explanatory power in the twenty first century?

10. Discuss the struggle for responsible democratic government in Canada and its roots in the 1837 rebellions, the Riel rebellion, the struggle of the suffragettes for women’s voting rights and the struggle of the aboriginal people for their rights.

11. What role have trade unions played in Canada’s political and economic development ? How have they enhanced democracy?

12. Discuss the evolution of aboriginal rights and governance in Canada.

13. Discuss the recent Canadian election. In the end what do you believe determined the outcome :policy differences, the image of the party leader; regional differences; ideology; economic circumstances or media manipulation? What can polling tell us about this ? Does the election show us the need for reforming the electoral system?

14. Discuss Canada and free trade in the context of globalization. How can we break free from excessive dependence on an uncertain American market? What differences will the new Trump administration make to the Canada U.S. relationship and should Canada respond ?

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Yellen announces 25 basis point rate increase. Will this dampen Trump’s infrastructure stimulus ?

The chair of the Federal Reserve Janet Yellen has announced a small but policy significant increase in their targeted range for interest rates from 0.25% to 0.50 % to 0.5% to 0.75%.
The over night funds rate sits at 0.41% and the Federal reserve open market committee also approved a quarter point rise in the discount rate raising the primary credit rate from 1% to 1.25% points. It also indicated that future rate rises would be “data determined” and gradual over the coming year. The stock market has initially reacted negatively although that may well turn out to be a 24-hour wonder.But there is a more serious issue. Is the US recovery strong enough and the risk of price inflation real enough to justify even this small increase in rates? Some analysts and bankers are convinced.I’m not so sure. That will be the key issue in the months going forward. Keeping the interest rates low enough to accommodate the infrastructure and deficit spending that is part of the Trump strategy going forward should be a top priority. The economy is still quite vulnerable to a set back and discouraged worker unemployment still significant. Low interest rates are a necessary but not sufficient condition of robust economic growth. We are going to see if the Fed has learned the importance of this key insight in the near future. From a Canadian point of view this rate rise may well put pressure on the Bank of Canada to raise rates as well, They should resist the temptation to do so.

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Renzi stays on for budget approval at request of Italian President

The Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi has agreed to stay on pending budget approval. This should help calm nerves for the short term in Italy and abroad. The markets appear to have absorbed the initial shock of the referendum defeat very well in the short run.

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Renzi loses Italian referendum He resigns . Italian politics thrown into turmoil. Market disturbance may follow.

The No side decisively rejected the Italian constitutional referendum 59.3 % to 40.7% . As a consequence the Prime Minister Matteo Renzi announced his intention to resign. The right and left parties will be eager to capitalize but none of them have enough support to be the government on their own. The Democratic party finished in close to a dead heat with the five star party led by Beppe Grillo each with 25 % of the vote in the 2013 election. The centre right coalition of former Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi finished not far behind with 21.4%. So a period of instability until the next election is likely in Italian politics. In particular should a needed bailout of some of the banks be required if market losses multiply there may well be a problem in getting such a proposal through a caretaker government. Many will be holding their breath when the markets reopen Monday morning although it may take some time for the markets to assess the damage from the lost referendum in which case losses will be moderate and quickly reversed if confidence is restored.

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François Hollande’s decision not to run creates whole new scenario in next spring’s French Presidential election.

This past week President Hollande of France announced he would not seek a second term in next April’s presidential election. This decision taken by Hollande was a realistic decision given his very poor polling results, his failure to solve the unemployment problem because of his refusal to embrace Keynesianism, the low level of popularity of the governing socialist party and the clear and present danger that if the socialists fielded a weak candidate they probably would be excluded from the decisive second round which would instead boil down to a contest between the Front National candidate Marine Le Pen and the Republican party conservative candidate François Fillon. Now there are some plausible alternatives to this scenario. The choice on the left so far is among conservative politicians Emannuel Macron and Emanuel Valls,and further left figures Arnaud Montebourg and the former education minister Benoît Hamon. A poll shows Valls ahead. On the further left is once again Jean Luc Melenchon. So the socialist party primary will be an interesting and possibly revitalizing affair. It takes place in January.

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Austrian far right extremist candidate for President Norbert Hofer is well behind in exit polls. Green candidate Alexander Van der Bellen leads

Exit polls from the Austrian presidential election show the Green party candidate Alexander Van der Bellen the lead with 53.6% of the result. Norbert Hofer has apparently conceded defeat. Official vote count results will be available late tonight or Monday morning.

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Italian referendum could trigger resignation of Prime Minister Renzi and follow on banking crisis.

This Sunday the Italian people vote on a referendum to restructure the constitution to diminish the power of the regional governments and the Senate and “modernize” Italian governing structures. Mr. Renzi has made victory in the referendum a personal goal and there is worry that should the opposition parties who oppose these changes win then he might resign triggering new elections in which the populist and left parties who oppose bank bailouts will come to power triggering a banking crisis in some already very vulnerable mid size and larger banks. These banks according to the European press and the FT are overextended in bad loans and are suffering from low profits such that their loan liabilities far exceed their equity and asset base. The result could be a cascading crisis that will shake the Euro, the financial markets and require intervention from the ECB. So there is plenty to worry about from Donald Trump withdrawing from NAFTA,to Brexit, to Le Pen and now possibly Italy.Some of the criticism of the constitutional changes being proposed are that it undermines regional autonomy, is antidemocratic because it largely abolishes the influence and powers of the senate and it over centralizes power in the office of the prime minister and it was adopted by the governing party without an effort at building a consensus. Given these criticisms it is by no means certain that the referendum will pass.

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François Fillon right wing austerian Republican defeats centrist Alain Juppé in party presidential primary in France 67% to 33 %

The die is now cast in the Republican opposition party in France . François Fillon ran on a budget slashing austerity program and defeated Alain Juppé decisively for the party presidential candidature. The election will be next year and the ultra right National leader Marine Le
Pen is heavily favoured to be one of the candidates who reaches the final round. The conventional wisdom is that Fillon is a stronger opponent to Le Pen because of his Thatcherist politics. The current polls suggest he will defeat Le Pen. But I worry about that and the popularity of his slash and burn approach to government spending. . Le Pen is quite capable of running a populist platform emphasizing both anti-immigrant policies and re-employment strategies designed to focus on working class and middle class resentment a la the rust belt rebellion in the US and Brexit in the U.K. The Left at the moment is running well behind the conservative parties and as usual is not united around a single candidate. This may turn out to be a fateful error. The current polls show Prime Minister Manuel Valls defeating Le Pen. But François Hollande does not. The first round is in late April. Spring may well bring unpleasant surprises in France.

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Fidel Castro Has Died. Born August 13, 1926 he was an Heroic Figure to some an authoritarian Caudillo to others but also a major figure on the world stage for 60 years.

The whole history of Latin America in particular and the cold war in general bears the imprint of Fidel Castro’s influence. Canada despite clear ideological differences over democracy, freedom of speech and human rights was a friend of Cuba and will continue to be so even if American policy shifts away from the the lessening of tensions promoted by President Obama. Many Canadians have visited the island and brought back warm memories of their stay, particularly in Québec. That is not likely to change. At the same time we were often disappointed that Cuba under Castro did not free political prisoners, persecuted gay people and generally behaved too frequently in an authoritarian way. One of our most popular prime ministers Pierre Elliott Trudeau visited Cuba with his family and became very friendly with Fidel and despite American pressure and the embargo established an independent Canadian policy with respect to Cuba and Latin America in general. Many anti Castro Cuban Americans who live in Florida and elsewhere in the United States today would like compensation paid to them for properties and assets they lost to the Cuban Revolution. This is understandable and in the coming years these disputes might be resolved. But for now many Cubans will be grieving the death of Fidel Castro and wondering what the future will bring.

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Jill Stein raises cash to finance recount in Michigan,Wisconsin and Pennsylvania where vote is very close and computer scientists and analysts worry vote tampering might have occurred.

There is a fundraising campaign underway to raise 2.5 million dollars to finance a recount in three key battleground states with a total of 46 electoral college votes. The Green party chief Dr.Jill Stein has already raised 1.9 million $ and appears well on her way to achieving her goal by Friday when she must file a formal request for a recount. Computer scientists at the University of Michigan including the director of the University of Michigan Center for computer security and society have raised the possibility of hacking into the computers that were used in some of the states to tabulate the vote and have observed a possible anomaly where counties that used electronic voting recorded 7% fewer votes for Mrs Clinton than areas where paper ballots and optical scanners were used.
It is possible that this variance in the vote simply coincidently reflects a common demographic pattern but it does seem to suggest further analysis and examination of the vote is needed to validate the results. The computer scientist at the University of Michigan, J.Alex Halderman has suggested in a statement released to the press that the electronic voting machines being used in some areas were in fact vulnerable to being hacked and might have been programmed to alter the actual vote. So it would be prudent in these states where the vote was very close to re-examine the vote and ensure that there were no hacks made. This will be an unresolved controversy unless a recount clears the air.The margin of difference at the moment in Michigan is some 9528 votes, in Wisconsin 22,525 votes and 69,741 votes in Pennsylvania. A shift in as few as 51000 votes from Trump to Clinton after a recount distributed appropriately among the three states could make Hillary Clinton and not Donald Trump the appropriate President elect.

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