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Category Archives: business cycles
Canadian employment falls by 21,900 but headline unemployment rate falls to 7.0 %
Statistics Canada has released its latest Labour force survey for the month of January. It shows that unemployment has fallen to 7.0 % but there are 21,900 fewer people employed and the fall in the headline rate is due to … Continue reading
U.S. jobs report January 2013 unemployment 7.9% 157,000 jobs added:clear need for further fiscal stimulus
The U.S. Bureau of Labour Statistics has released the employment report for January . It shows that unemployment rose slightly to 7.9 %, 157,000 new jobs were added and there were significant upward revisions to employment numbers for last November … Continue reading
U.S. 4th quarter GDP shrinks by 0.1 percent: No time to cut spending
The news came as a surprise to many but the 4th quarter of 2012 experienced a slowdown in growth that resulted in a very marginal but nonethess a negative growth rate for the GDP. The source of the problem was … Continue reading
Boris Backs Britain Away From Austerity
The colourful Tory mayor of London, Boris Johnson has come out forcefully in opposition to the disasterous austerity policies that are at the centre of Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne’s economic strategy. Following in the tradition of British Conservative … Continue reading
Keynes’s Fundamental Equations From The Treatise on Money
The symbols used in A Treatise on Money are somewhat different from the General Theory and for those who are familiar with GT but not the Treatise are a little confusing at first. See both Keynes’s A Treatise on Money vol.1 ch.10 … Continue reading
US Unemployment Rate Falls to 7.7% from 7.9%:Positive trend continues
The latest U.S. unemployment rate shows a continuation of the positive trend of lower unemployment and a gradually healing eeconomy. The headline rate for November 2012 dropped two tenths of a percentage point to 7.7 % from its October … Continue reading
Hoarding, speculation and the problem of unemployment
The classical school of economics always argued that wages would adjust to clear gluts of unemployed workers over a reasonably short period of time and that cash would not be hoarded but used to purchase bonds or otherwise spent on … Continue reading
Obama wins decisive but narrow victory in both popular vote and electoral college.
This past week’s American election marks an important historical turning point. A broadly based multi-cultural multi-lingual diverse lifestyle progressive 21st century coalition won a narrow but decisive victory over a much more conservative traditional 20th century coalition. Both sides worked … Continue reading
This U.S. recession’s recovery in comparison to 7 earlier ones:unemployment 45 months after its peak
One critical way of guaging the severity of a recession, the impact of policy and the changing circumstances of the gobal economy is to examine the behaviour of unemployment during and after a recession. Fortunately we have excellent monthly data … Continue reading
The fall economic conversation: Hayek versus Keynes, Romney versus Obama, whither the global business cycle ?
Now that relative calm has returned to Québec after the provincial election we can focus our attention on the broader economic issues that beset the global economy. The American election although currently focused on foreign policy appears set to return … Continue reading